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Feb 11 At a ma On the flip side you have a Saints team that is winning with defense and special teams in the absence of star QB Drew Brees.
Alvin Kamara will once again be key and he is a threat so many ways. The points total is The turnovers he gave away last week would have let a better team than the Redskins back in the game.
However, if that were to happen can Kirk Cousins take advantage? Cousins should find the Giants defense more forgiving than the Bears D he faced last week and this looks the type of game that the whole offense can gain confidence from and the bookies feel the same making them 5.
New York Jets Philadelphia Eagles This looks like a mismatch on paper although if QB Sam Darnold can go for the Jets, that at least makes it a little more competitive.
A week can be a long time in the NFL though and with the Eagles overcoming the Packers then the Cowboys slipping in New Orleans, all of the sudden the NFC East is wide open again and you have to think the Eagles once again have the easier task this week.
Baltimore Ravens Pittsburgh Steelers The Ravens have had a right couple of weeks of it, losing a shootout to the Chiefs is no shame but then allowing the Browns to run all over you will bruise the ego.
The Steelers will have seen that and with Ben Roethlisberger done for the year, they got creative with their rushing attack last week, featuring both James Connor and Jaylen Samuel as rushers, receivers and passers well, tap passes!
His opposite number, Lamar Jackson, will have to be on his guard against the Steelers pass rush but he can make enough plays to give the Steelers too much to chase here.
Lose to Miami in Week 6 and surely his position becomes impossible. The only thing stopping a Patriots comfortable victory here is the Patriots themselves.
For the Jaguars, Gardner Minshew has already established cult status with his comeback heroics last week in Denver whilst Kyle Allen for the Panthers has helped open up the Panthers offense.
Both teams turned to their ground games last week though and expect more of the same here. This is a tough one to call.
The Panthers are 3. The takeaways did make me a better sports better though, and I steadily make money over time.
Knowing I will lose nearly half the games I bet on and betting the correct amount on each game has made the process easier.
Very good read if you are serious about betting and not looking to get rich quick. As the title suggests, the focus of this book is betting.
While many books focus on handicapping using statistics and information to assign probabilities of different outcomes , a majority of this book is about trading.
A lot of new information is covered here that I have never seen in other published books. When is a line movement sharp?
There is a lot of analysis on types of movement, what it means, and how to exploit it. There is also good discussion on fundamentals -- push rates for events, EV, why winning percentage in a vacuum is meaningless.
One other interesting bit near the end is making objective adjustments based on injuries. This is a core skill that can offer value even if you did not handicap the game.
The examples he used started with Madden Football player ratings as a baseline, and is a very reasonable approach.
My only criticism is that the book is disorganized. While the book is divided into roughly 30 chapters, many parts of it read like a stream of consciousness.
I gave the book 5 stars because no other book I have read addresses the nuts and bolts of trading, this book did a thorough job on this topic, and this was a 0.
With more editing and organization, this could be a 5-star full priced title. This the single best volume for the beginner to intermediate sports bettor with an emphasis on football.
The book teaches the basics of sportsbetting, terminology, understanding odds, and methods to make bets that should win in the long-term.
This is an excellent primer on someone who is serious about making money from sports. The material is slightly dated - internet betting has made the sports markets more efficient.